San Francisco 49ers

2010 San Francisco 49ers Preview

Last year in these hallowed digital pages I expressed some skepticism over the direction of the Mike Singletary 49ers. It was (is?) a little disconcerting to me that the NFL is obviously a passing league, most of the elite teams are elite b/c they have a great passing game, and Singletary seemed intent on building a smashmouth running team that would try and win games 16-13. I said they’d go 7-9 and they went 8-8. You can’t win them all, but you can win one for every one you lose apparently.

The 9ers did some good things in the offseason: they attempted to improve the weaker points of the team, they kept the offensive coordinator for the 1st time in 6 years and they stayed in the NFC West.

If you are going to run the football you need to have a good offensive line. Last year the 9ers’ offensive line was…not good. They led the NFL in runs for 0 or 1 yards, although that might have had a little to do with the Reverend Glen Coffee doing his best Derek Loville impersonation. Really, though, the fact that Frank Gore got 1100+ yards and averaged 4.9 yards/carry with the group they had last year is pretty remarkable. So what did they do? They became only the 2nd team in the last 15 years to use 2 1st round picks on offensive linemen. Mike Iuputi should be a plus starter from day one and Anthony Davis will be up and down but should at least be an improvement over the execrable Adam Snyder.

Another problem area was the return game. They might as well have accepted every kick at the 20 without a return attempt for all the explosiveness they had with it, and Arnaz Battle, the main punt returner, averaged 2.9 yards per punt return, which seems incredible considering he is 6’0” tall and so if he caught every punt and just fell forward down on his face he would have averaged 2 yards a return. Former Ohio State Buckeye great Theodore Ginn Jr. was brought in to take kickoffs back past the 20 and rookie Kyle Williams was brought in to get more than 3 yards on punt returns.

The passing game should be improved this year as well, with the same coordinator and system returning finally, a hopefully improved Alex Smith, a full season of Michael “Practice? We talkin’ about practice?“ Crabtree and some speed on the outside in Ginn.

Lastly, and maybe most importantly, the 9ers are still in the NFC West. It is very hard to see the Rams, Seahawks or Cardinals winning more than 8 games so you would think if the 9ers could just improve by 1 game they would win the West. And with the improvements on offense and special teams, a very good defense returning basically to a man and a relatively weak schedule I see no reason why they can’t go 9-7 and make the playoffs for the 1st time since 2002. And once you get to the playoffs anything can happen. Maybe I like this kind of party after all.

I’m Not Sure I Like This Kind of Party

Mike Singletary is fairly old school. And by “fairly” I mean if it was up to him he’d burn down the new school and reopen the old school on its ashes. As a head coach in The National Football League (tm Ron Jaworski) his goal is to be more physical (excuse me, fisical) than the other team first and foremost. He wants to go out and hit people in the mouth and win 13-10. And so far, relatively speaking, it’s worked for him---he took over a 2-5 team last year and closed out the year by going 5-4 using a ball-control offense that limited turnovers and a solid defense.

The plan this year is for even more of the same. Frank Gore is going to average, if my calculations are correct and they usually are, 57 carries a game. Shaun Hill has to not turn the ball over and complete the occasional 3rd down pass to Ike Bruce or Arnaz Battle (who again are going to engage in a struggle to see who can get the fewest yards after the catch---Battle won last year with 0.) The defense has to be physical and be there all day.

This all sounds ok on paper. I mean, I like to hit people in the mouth as much as the next guy. And after 6 consecutive years of missing the playoffs I don’t really care how they win as long as they do. My only concern (well, aside from the fact that they went 7-9 last year and brought back almost exactly the same team) is that this strategy is outdated. You see, dear reader, I, Tanner Boyle, am a new school kind of guy. I’m perfectly fine winning games 34-31. I like explosive offenses and bend-don’t-break defenses. I like quarterbacks who can do things other than hand off and throw 7 yard passes. I hate the phrase game manager almost as I hate game managers. I think you score points in the passing game, not the running game. I think you lose if you kick field goals.

The old school is going to be tested immediately when the 9ers travel to Phoenix to play the new school Cardinals and their fancy-pants passing game. A win in that game would go a long way toward me purchasing some new books, but for now, color me skeptical.

Season prediction: same team, same record: 7-9.